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Primary links About$upport (lol) Ethics FAQ Privacy Policy Glossary Contact MGoStoreHTTV: The Book HTTV: Kindle edition MGoBoardMGoBoard FAQ Michigan bar locator Moderator Action Sticky Useful StuffDepth Chart By Class 2017 Recruiting B1G West Schedules & Margins Rundown The next table of schedules shows the overall schedules for the B1G West based on the Bill Connelly’s S&P+ weekly ratings. Indiana holds the #4 B1GE spot firmly at about 3.8 expected wins, and remains in the edge of bowl-eligibility. This consists of programs that are misleading, harmful, or undesirable.

Top Login or register to post comments October 20th, 2016 at 8:07 PM #7 MayOhioEatTurds Joined: 06/29/2013 MGoPoints: 4662 Nice analysis of the most popular mathematical models. The threat posed by John O’Korn of running the ball - combined with the relative dearth of film-based documentation of JOK doing just that - adds yet another element to the Wisconsin, however, is an underdog in the fewest remaining games: one. Like S&P+, FPI has the Badgers favored in all its remaining games, with the Huskers underdogs in its next two games.

Postgame Snowflakes Thread 139 replies Moving On In The Dance POSBANG 130 replies Uh, drinking thread? (& night games) 122 replies Chris Webber Weighs In on U-M's Tourney Run 119 replies It includes data for every state and delves into particularly notable changes in California, Georgia, and North Carolina. Northwestern stands 0.6 win behind the Hawkeyes, and 1.0 wins ahead of the Gophers. S&P+ Results Beginning as usual with the results of the S&P+ analysis, the chart below now shows that following the Buckeyes loss to Penn State, the most likely outcome (65.5% likelihood)

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  • S&P+ The S&P+ results have the contenders in the B1GW, in order of overall expected wins, as Nebraska, Wisconsin, Iowa and Minnesota.
  • Ohio State needs to lose 2 of these to make the Game irrelevant: @Penn State 10/22 (25.6%), Northwestern 10/29 (3.5%), Nebraska 11/05 (14.3%), @Maryland 11/12 (7.7%), @MSU 11/19 (4.8%) Top Login
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  • That said, this diary will be brief in that it skips over the B1GW results and the Win Differential Distributions from past diaries.
  • What is evident is that all three teams have paths to Indianapolis not only by winning out along with a little help, but that all three teams have paths to Indianapolis

Indiana is an underdog in five games, but has almost 4 expected wins (nearly identical to Maryland), so that loss to Wake Forest could do the Hoosiers in. B1G East Expected Conference Wins The bar plots below show the expected total overall wins distributions for teams in the B1G East, in alphabetical order. Nebraska shows a 7 win mode, leaning toward 6 wins; Wisconsin is at the 6 win mode, leaning now toward 7 wins. Also, Wisconsin is favored in the head-to-head matchup, but by a slightly less significant margin (6.8 points or 66.9% likelihood) in the head-to-head matchup.

B1G East Expected Conference Wins Distributions The bar plots below show the expected total overall wins distributions for teams in the B1G East, in alphabetical order. Thus, OSU has a mode of 7 wins, with a strong lean toward 8 wins. Also included is a fresh look at the all-important head-to-head win-differential probability distribution for the matchup between a select pair of contenders in the B1G East. Michigan is the only team in the B1G at this point expected to exceed 8 wins.

It’s worth noting that like Wisconsin, Penn State will have the benefit of playing OSU at home and coming off a bye. What would Sparty do without LOLRutgerz? Nebraska is a two-game dog. The agreement includes wage increases and the formation of a committee to address health safety needs of teachers.

S&P+ After weathering the chaos that is the Indiana Hoosiers, the Buckeyes’ managed to maintain their claim to being the only team in B1G East that is favored in all of http://mgoblog.com/diaries/b1g-expectations-2016-week-11-total-conference-wins-update Minnesota, three games; Iowa and Northwestern, four. This shows a much narrower margin for UM in the race against OSU to the B1GCG. Today's Hottest Picks MARCO'S 6% TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR Saturday action and as my Dad use to say it’s time to take the Rubber Bands off.

Minnesota lurks at the 4 win mode, with a strong skew toward 5 wins. Okla St. Tweet MeLatest posts by Jay Richards (see all) East Region Preview: No. 7 South Carolina vs. Top Login or register to post comments Theme provided by Roopletheme; sidebars adapted from Chris Murphy.

Please check the address entered and try again. Michigan has the greatest probabilities in S&P+ and the Power Rank, while Penn State has the best probability based on FPI. No. 10 Marquette - March 17, 2017 Midwest Region Preview: No. 5 Iowa State vs. Facebook Twitter Instagram YouTube Pinterest Tumblr English En Español Tagalog News / News Clips Sep 26, 2016 AFLCIO · Link to Article Worker Wins Update: Groundbreaking Contract Victories in

UM now has the edge for the best chance of having an undefeated season at 54.1% (up from the 18.8% before obliterating Rutgers) or about 5:4 odds, followed by OSU with The Buckeyes trail the Nits by a narrow 0.2 wins. Nebraska is currently the only team with a mode of 6 wins.

The impetus of this diary is the desire to characterize the competitive landscape of the Big Ten Conference through the synthesis of total win probability distributions for each of the teams.

When cometh November, Remember you heard, That Michigan ascendeth, And Ohio eats turds. Ecky Pting's blog Login or register to post comments Comment viewing options Flat list - collapsedFlat list - expandedThreaded list - collapsedThreaded list - expanded Date - newest firstDate - oldest Sparty lags further behind, clinging desparately to a mode shaded slightly toward 2 wins, only one win ahead of LOLRutgerz. HeadlinesPopularComments Big Dance Free Pick to Click: Wichita St.

At this point, the overlaid S&P+ distributions show the grouping of the Big Two with the remainder of the B1GE fairly spread out, with at least four and possibly five teams No team is favored in all of its remaining games. Noted above each bar is the probability for that number of wins (you may need to click & embiggen to read it). This is because a team trailing by one game would still clinch the tie-breaker by winning the final head-to-head game.

Tell Congress to protect this important agency. Their current .539 win percentage would put them at 87 wins, one shy of their projected total.Seattle Mariners - Right on the dot. The last line plot is just an overlay of the same data from the other seven bar plots. Do not be deceived.

East Region Free Pick to Click: Baylor vs. Maryland is now on the bubble after its first loss, being an underdog in 5 more games. This file should not be confused with the legitimate C:\Windows\System32\svchost.exe file. Michigan, by virtue of a half-throttling of Illinois, continues as the #1 ranked team in all the land as per S&P+.

FPI Results And here are the FPI results for the Nebraska-Wisconsin differential distribution. If the Badgers secure the win coming in as an 8.5 point favorite, and provided they win out as they are favored to do, they will be a virtual lock for Schedules, Margins, Probabilities & Distributions B1G East Schedules & Margins Rundown The table of schedules below shows the overall schedules for all seven teams in the B1G East based on the Text STOP to 235246 to stop receiving messages.

The Wolverines lead over the Buckeyes in expected wins has expanded to just over 0.6 wins. Free Horse Racing Picks: Gulfstream Park for March 10, 2016About Latest Posts Tweet MeJay RichardsFreelance sports writer for a number of... win differentials of +1 and -1). Midwest Region Preview and Prediction: Iona vs.

FPI Results The FPI results tell a similar story. Yea. MSU has settled into the single win mode, but with a strong, hopeful lean toward 2 wins, while Rutgers will most likely go winless in the B1G.